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RENT-A-RIOT ABCS By AMIR TAHERI
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cyrus
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 09, 2006 1:08 pm    Post subject: RENT-A-RIOT ABCS By AMIR TAHERI Reply with quote

RENT-A-RIOT ABCS By: AMIR TAHERI

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
http://www.nypost.com/postopinion/opedcolumnists/61596.htm

February 9, 2006 -- 'ABLESSING from God": So have Iran's leaders, starting with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, described the controversy over the Danish cartoons of the Prophet Muhammed.
A closer look at the row, however, shows that the whole rigmarole was launched by Sunni-Salafi groups in Europe and Asia, with Ahmadinejad and his Syrian vassal, President Bashar al-Assad, belatedly playing catch-up. God had nothing to do with it.

To see how the whole thing was manufactured to serve precise political ends, consider the chronology of events:

The cartoons were published last September and, for more than three months, caused no ripples outside small groups of Salafi militants in Denmark.

In December, a group of Danish Muslim militants filled their suitcases with photocopies of the cartoons and embarked on a tour of Muslim capitals.

They failed to get to Tehran: The Iranians, being Shi'ites, saw them as Sunni activists bent on mischief. But they managed to go to Cairo, Damascus and Beirut and, were allowed to send emissaries to Saudi Arabia.

The Danish Muslim group also did something dishonest — it added a number of far more derogatory cartoons of the Prophet to the 12 published by the Jyllands-Posten newspaper, and misled its interlocutors in Muslim capitals into believing that all had appeared in the Danish press.

In Cairo, the Muslim Brotherhood told the Danish group that this was not the time to kick a fuss over the cartoons. The brotherhood was busy plotting its election strategy and pretending to be a "moderate" political party. The last thing it wanted was to be branded as a rabid anti-West force. The brotherhood leaders suggested that the matter be put on ice until January.

The Danish militants also received a negative reply from Hamas, the Palestinian radical movement. Hamas was busy trying to win a general election and needed to reassure at least part of the Palestinian middle classes. The Hamas advice was: Wait until after we have won.

The emissaries found a more sympathetic audience in Qatar — where the satellite-TV channel Al Jazeera (owned by the emir) specializes in inciting Muslims against the West and democracy in general. The channel's chief Islamist televangelist, Yussuf al-Qaradawi (an Egyptian preacher who is also a friend of Ken Livingstone, the mayor of London), was all too keen to issue a "fatwa" to light the fuse. He then mobilized his network of Muslim Brotherhood militants in Europe to attack the cartoons and claim, falsely, that images were not allowed in Islam and that the Danish paper had violated "an absolute principle of The Only True Faith."

Thus the call for Jihad received its supposed "theological" green light. (Ironically, the section of the brotherhood headed by al-Qaradawi is financed by the European Union as a non-governmental organization.)

As the first rent-a-mob crowds appeared on global TV screens, Ahmadinejad realized that here was a cow worth milking.

For Denmark is set to assume the rotating presidency of the U.N. Security Council — at the very time that the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is expected to refer Iran to the Security Council and demand sanctions. What better, for Tehran's purposes, than to portray Denmark as "an enemy of Islam" and mobilize Muslim sympathy against the Security Council?

To regain the initiative from the Sunni-Salafi groups, Ahmadinejad quickly ordered a severing of commercial ties with Denmark, thus portraying the Islamic Republic as the Muslim world's leader in the anti-Danish campaign.

Syria was next to jump on the bandwagon, again for mercenary reasons. The United Nations wants Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and five of his relatives and aides, including his younger brother, for questioning in the murder of Lebanon's former premier, Rafiq al-Hariri. (Assad has tried to negotiate immunity for himself and his brother in exchange for handing over the others — but the U.N. wouldn't play.) As with Iran's nuclear program, the Syrian dossier will reach the Security Council under Danish presidency. To portray Denmark as "an enemy of the Prophet" would not be such a bad thing when the council, as expected, points the finger at Assad and his regime as responsible for a series of political murders, including that of Hariri.

The Danish-cartoons cow will also be milked in another way: Tehran and Damascus have launched a diplomatic campaign to put the issue of "protecting religions against blasphemy" on the Security Council agenda. If that were to happen, issues such as Iran's quest for the atomic bomb and Syria's murder machine in Lebanon might be pushed aside, at least as far as world public opinion is concerned.

People watching TV news may think that the whole Muslim world is ablaze with righteous rage translated into "spontaneous demonstrations." The truth is that the overwhelming majority of Muslims, even if offended by cartoons which they have not seen, have stayed away from the street shows put on by the radicals and the Iranian and Syrian security services.

The destruction of Danish and Norwegian embassies and consulates happened in only two places: Damascus and Beirut. Anyone who knows Syria would know that there are no spontaneous demonstrations in that dictatorship. (Even then, the Syrian secret police failed to attract more than 1,000 rent-a-mob militants.) And the Syrian government refused the Norwegian Embassy's request for additional police protection. It was clear that the Syrians wanted the embassies sacked.

The rent-a-mob attacks in Beirut were more cynical. The Syrian Ba'ath — which has been murdering, imprisoning or deporting Sunni-Salafi militants for years — was suddenly transformed from a radical secular and Socialist party into "the Vanguard of the Faith." The mob that committed the atrocities in Beirut was bused from Syria and consisted of Muslim Brotherhood militants who are never allowed to demonstate on their own account.

The Muslim crowds that have demonstrated over the cartoons seldom exceeded a few hundred; the Muslim segment of humanity is estimated at 1.2 billion. And only three of Denmark's embassies in 57 Muslim countries have been attacked.

The Danish Muslim gang who lied by adding cartoons that had never been published has done more damage to the Prophet and to Islam than the 12 controversial cartoonists of Jyllands-Posten.

The fight between Denmark and its detractors is not between the West and Islam. It is between democracy and a global fascist movement masquerading as religion.

Iranian author Amir Taheri is a member of Benador Associates.
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 09, 2006 8:13 pm    Post subject: Danish Prime Minister: Iran, Syria Caused Protests Reply with quote

Danish Prime Minister: Iran, Syria Caused Protests

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/02/09/AR2006020901512.html?nav=rss_world/mideast

By Kevin Sullivan
Washington Post Foreign Service
Thursday, February 9, 2006; 5:09 PM

COPENHAGEN, Feb. 9 -- Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen Thursday said the governments of Iran and Syria had intentionally inflamed Muslim protests against a Danish newspaper's publication of cartoons depicting the prophet Muhammad to distract attention from their own diplomatic crises.

"Syria and Iran have taken advantage of the situation because both countries are under international pressure," Rasmussen said in an interview following similar statements Wednesday by Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice. Rasmussen also said he would "not exclude the possibility" that Syria had also been involved in violent protests in Beirut.

"I think they have taken this opportunity to use this case and a small country like Denmark as a distraction," said Rasmussen. He alleged that Iran was trying to divert attention from international pressure over its nuclear program and Syria from allegations that it was behind the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri.

"It is obvious that these events have gone beyond the cartoons," he said, responding to a question about Rice's statements. "We are now facing an international crisis which has its roots in tensions in the Muslim world."

Rasmussen said he held "the two governments responsible" for mobs that attacked and burned Danish embassies in Tehran and Damascus. He said Denmark had already lodged formal protests with the two government and was considering further "diplomatic steps," which he declined to specify.

Rasmussen, a right-of-center former economic affairs minister who was elected in November 2001, said he has watched in "disbelief and sadness" the events of nearly a week. Protesters in countries from the Middle East to Asia have burned Danish flags, attacked Danish embassies and called for Danes to be beheaded and massacred for cartoons seen in the Muslim world as a grave insult to the holiest figure in Islam.

"We are seeing ourselves portrayed as an intolerant nation, as a nation hostile to Islam," Rasmussen said, in his spacious corner office of the parliamentary palace. "And it's a false picture. I think it's fair to say that Denmark is one of the most open and tolerant countries in the world. We have a real freedom of religion and we do respect all religions."

Rasmussen, who received a phone call of support from President Bush on Tuesday, said he was pleased with Bush's recent strong statements condemning violence against Danish diplomatic missions.

"We consider ourselves a faithful and loyal ally of the United States and we appreciate very much to see this reciprocated in the support from the United States," Rasmussen said. The Bush administration's statements on the situation have shifted. Initially, the administration condemned the cartoons as offensive but now Bush and other officials are stressing their opposition to the widespread violence. Rasmussen said the administration's initial statement on the cartoons "caused some public debate in Denmark, whether it could be considered a support or not . . . We do realize that this is also a balance for the United States."

Muslims have staged violent demonstrations against Denmark in Iraq and Afghanistan, where several people have died in protests. But Rasmussen said Denmark had no plans to withdraw or reduce its 530 troops in Iraq or 390 troops in Afghanistan because of that violence.

Throughout the crisis, Rasmussen has publicly said he was sorry that the cartoons had offended Muslims. But he has steadfastly refused apologize for their publication, because, he said in the interview, "Neither the government nor the Danish people can be held responsible for what is published in an independent newspaper."

Amid a growing global debate about freedom of expression and whether the Jyllands-Posten newspaper was wrong to publish the dozen cartoons, Rasmussen has emerged as an unapologetic champion of free speech. "I think freedom of expression is the safeguard of all other freedoms," he said. "I consider freedom of expression the most important freedom of all."

Rasmussen said he supported free speech even when it was directed harshly at him. As Muslim anger has been channeled through the Internet, he has been the subject of unflattering cartoons and altered photos on Web sites.

"I don't feel offended--that's part of the game," Rasmussen said, laughing. "As a politician, I am used to caricatures. I think it's a question of culture and tradition, and maybe one of the reasons why most Danes don't understand why cartoons can cause all this."

Rasmussen said he would not support an idea, suggested by a top official of the European Union this week, that the E.U. should consider adopting a voluntary code of conduct for the press.

But Rasmussen said he did believe the government had a responsibility to limit some expression, incitement to violence or terrorism. After his election in November 2001, two months after the Sept. 11 attacks on New York and the Pentagon, one of his government's first acts was to pass a new anti-terrorism law that forbids instigation of terrorism or offering advice to terrorists. That law was widely seen as one of Europe's toughest responses in a post-Sept. 11 debate over how far to restrict civil liberties in the name of fighting rising extremist violence.

"If the freedom of expression is oppressed or suppressed because of violence or the threat of violence, then freedom of expression is dead," he said. "Therefore, you must have certain limitations. It must be prohibited to incite violence or terrorism."

Many countries in Europe have laws banning racist hate speech that stem from their experiences with Nazi Germany and the Holocaust.

Rasmussen said Denmark already has laws on the books outlawing expressions that are racist or blasphemous. A group of 11 Muslim organizations used that law to file suit against the Jyllands-Posten newspaper after the cartoons were published in late September, but last month the prosecutor declined to go forward with the case, saying the cartoons did not violate laws on racism and blasphemy. The Muslim groups have appealed to Denmark's top prosecutor.
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ViaHHakimi



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PostPosted: Fri Feb 10, 2006 8:07 pm    Post subject: RENT-A-RIOT ABCS With Hakimi Comment Reply with quote

Dears,
Do you want to know the truth about the Danish Cartoons?
Then read the following carefully.
H.H.


_________________________________________________________

http://www.nypost.com/postopinion/opedcolumnists/61596.htm

RENT-A-RIOT ABCS By: AMIR TAHERI
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

February 9, 2006 -- 'A BLESSING from God": So have Iran's leaders, starting with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, described the controversy over the Danish cartoons of the Prophet Muhammed.

A closer look at the row, however, shows that the whole rigmarole was launched by Sunni-Salafi groups in Europe and Asia, with Ahmadinejad and his Syrian vassal, President Bashar al-Assad, belatedly playing catch-up. God had nothing to do with it.

To see how the whole thing was manufactured to serve precise political ends, consider the chronology of events:

The cartoons were published last September and, for more than three months, caused no ripples outside small groups of Salafi militants in Denmark.

In December, a group of Danish Muslim militants filled their suitcases with photocopies of the cartoons and embarked on a tour of Muslim capitals.

They failed to get to Tehran: The Iranians, being Shi'ites, saw them as Sunni activists bent on mischief. But they managed to go to Cairo, Damascus and Beirut and, were allowed to send emissaries to Saudi Arabia.

The Danish Muslim group also did something dishonest — it added a number of far more derogatory cartoons of the Prophet to the 12 published by the Jyllands-Posten newspaper, and misled its interlocutors in Muslim capitals into believing that all had appeared in the Danish press.

In Cairo, the Muslim Brotherhood told the Danish group that this was not the time to kick a fuss over the cartoons. The brotherhood was busy plotting its election strategy and pretending to be a "moderate" political party. The last thing it wanted was to be branded as a rabid anti-West force. The brotherhood leaders suggested that the matter be put on ice until January.

The Danish militants also received a negative reply from Hamas, the Palestinian radical movement. Hamas was busy trying to win a general election and needed to reassure at least part of the Palestinian middle classes. The Hamas advice was: Wait until after we have won.

The emissaries found a more sympathetic audience in Qatar — where the satellite-TV channel Al Jazeera (owned by the emir) specializes in inciting Muslims against the West and democracy in general. The channel's chief Islamist televangelist, Yussuf al-Qaradawi (an Egyptian preacher who is also a friend of Ken Livingstone, the mayor of London), was all too keen to issue a "fatwa" to light the fuse. He then mobilized his network of Muslim Brotherhood militants in Europe to attack the cartoons and claim, falsely, that images were not allowed in Islam and that the Danish paper had violated "an absolute principle of The Only True Faith."

(here comes the Brits Finger into the entire affair! Qatar & Aljazeera, Yussuf al-Qaradawi! Who doubts, that who is behind the two?) H.H.

Thus the call for Jihad received its supposed "theological" green light. (Ironically, the section of the brotherhood headed by al-Qaradawi is financed by the European Union as a non-governmental organization.) (What for?) H.H.

As the first rent-a-mob crowds appeared on global TV screens, Ahmadinejad realized that here was a cow worth milking.

For Denmark is set to assume the rotating presidency of the U.N. Security Council — at the very time that the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is expected to refer Iran to the Security Council and demand sanctions. What better, for Tehran's purposes, than to portray Denmark as "an enemy of Islam" and mobilize Muslim sympathy against the Security Council?

To regain the initiative from the Sunni-Salafi groups, Ahmadinejad quickly ordered a severing of commercial ties with Denmark, thus portraying the Islamic Republic as the Muslim world's leader in the anti-Danish campaign.

Syria was next to jump on the bandwagon, again for mercenary reasons. The United Nations wants Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and five of his relatives and aides, including his younger brother, for questioning in the murder of Lebanon's former premier, Rafiq al-Hariri. (Assad has tried to negotiate immunity for himself and his brother in exchange for handing over the others — but the U.N. wouldn't play.) As with Iran's nuclear program, the Syrian dossier will reach the Security Council under Danish presidency. To portray Denmark as "an enemy of the Prophet" would not be such a bad thing when the council, as expected, points the finger at Assad and his regime as responsible for a series of political murders, including that of Hariri.

The Danish-cartoons cow will also be milked in another way: Tehran and Damascus have launched a diplomatic campaign to put the issue of "protecting religions against blasphemy" on the Security Council agenda. If that were to happen, issues such as Iran's quest for the atomic bomb and Syria's murder machine in Lebanon might be pushed aside, at least as far as world public opinion is concerned.

People watching TV news may think that the whole Muslim world is ablaze with righteous rage translated into "spontaneous demonstrations." The truth is that the overwhelming majority of Muslims, even if offended by cartoons which they have not seen, have stayed away from the street shows put on by the radicals and the Iranian and Syrian security services.

The destruction of Danish and Norwegian embassies and consulates happened in only two places: Damascus and Beirut. Anyone who knows Syria would know that there are no spontaneous demonstrations in that dictatorship. (Even then, the Syrian secret police failed to attract more than 1,000 rent-a-mob militants.) And the Syrian government refused the Norwegian Embassy's request for additional police protection. It was clear that the Syrians wanted the embassies sacked.

The rent-a-mob attacks in Beirut were more cynical. The Syrian Ba'ath — which has been murdering, imprisoning or deporting Sunni-Salafi militants for years — was suddenly transformed from a radical secular and Socialist party into "the Vanguard of the Faith." The mob that committed the atrocities in Beirut was bused from Syria and consisted of Muslim Brotherhood militants who are never allowed to demonstate on their own account.

The Muslim crowds that have demonstrated over the cartoons seldom exceeded a few hundred; the Muslim segment of humanity is estimated at 1.2 billion. And only three of Denmark's embassies in 57 Muslim countries have been attacked.

The Danish Muslim gang who lied by adding cartoons that had never been published has done more damage to the Prophet and to Islam than the 12 controversial cartoonists of Jyllands-Posten.

The fight between Denmark and its detractors is not between the West and Islam. It is between democracy and a global fascist movement masquerading as religion.

Iranian author Amir Taheri is a member of Benador Associates.
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 10, 2006 8:40 pm    Post subject: Re: RENT-A-RIOT ABCS With Hakimi Comment Reply with quote

ViaHHakimi wrote:
Dears,
Do you want to know the truth about the Danish Cartoons?
Then read the following carefully.
H.H.


_________________________________________________________

http://www.nypost.com/postopinion/opedcolumnists/61596.htm

RENT-A-RIOT ABCS By: AMIR TAHERI
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


The emissaries found a more sympathetic audience in Qatar — where the satellite-TV channel Al Jazeera (owned by the emir) specializes in inciting Muslims against the West and democracy in general. The channel's chief Islamist televangelist, Yussuf al-Qaradawi (an Egyptian preacher who is also a friend of Ken Livingstone, the mayor of London), was all too keen to issue a "fatwa" to light the fuse. He then mobilized his network of Muslim Brotherhood militants in Europe to attack the cartoons and claim, falsely, that images were not allowed in Islam and that the Danish paper had violated "an absolute principle of The Only True Faith."

(here comes the Brits Finger into the entire affair! Qatar & Aljazeera, Yussuf al-Qaradawi! Who doubts, that who is behind the two?) H.H.

Thus the call for Jihad received its supposed "theological" green light. (Ironically, the section of the brotherhood headed by al-Qaradawi is financed by the European Union as a non-governmental organization.) (What for?) H.H.

.



This is the clear indication of Brits the so called US allay in “War on Terror” is stabbing US again from the back for another short term Neo Colonialist financial gain in the Middle East.
The Brits stabbed US forces in the Iraq which cost over 2000 American soldiers life. These allegations must be investigated by congress NOW before the Brits create another mess in the region and hide behind the US again. This is very serious.
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Oppenheimer



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PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 9:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sounds like pretty thin reaoning to me considering the fact that Danish Islamist were not only pushing the cartoons, but including ones that were never even published....globally...and that it was only months later that all the hubub started...timed to coincide with Hamas election victory, Iran's referral to the UN sec. Council, and oh by the way....the Danes have the presidency of the UN sec. Council starting in March....right, it's all the Brit's fault....and about as probable as Antar claiming its all a zionist conspiracy...

But, in any case, I thought I'd post the following, as it was kind of interesting...make of it what you will....

----------------------------------------



Ayatollah rips Iran’s rulers for “politicking” in cartoon row
Sat. 11 Feb 2006
Iran Focus

http://www.iranfocus.com/modules/news/article.php?storyid=5727

Paris, Feb. 11 – In an exclusive interview with Iran Focus, a prominent dissident ayatollah lambasted Iran’s theocratic rulers for “playing politics with Islam’s sanctities and taking advantage of the religious sentiments of Muslims simply to serve the narrow interests of their own regime”.

“I sincerely believe that the publication of these cartoons [of Islam’s Prophet Muhammad] was absolutely unjustified, because they offend all Muslims and only help the extremists like those in power in Iran”, the mild-mannered, soft-spoken ayatollah, who has been condemned to death in a fatwa issued by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, said over tea at a coffee shop in Paris, where he lives incognito, mindful of the long reach of Tehran’s assassins.

“But I hasten to add that Iran’s rulers are inciting violence and provoking Muslims for purely Machiavellian reasons: they want to exacerbate the confrontation between Muslims and Christians at a time when their sponsorship of terrorism and their nuclear weapons program have come under increasing international scrutiny and criticism. They are playing with the sentiments of Muslims to divert attention from their own crises at home and abroad. This is more than criminal; it is evil.”

Ayatollah Jalal Ganjei, a respected Shiite scholar and writer who lives in exile in France, was one of Ayatollah Khomeini’s disciples in the 1960s, before he broke away with him in the mid-1970s over their divergent views on the role of freedom and democracy in Islam. When Ganjei left Iran to join the opposition in the early 1980s, Ayatollah Khomeini issued a fatwa against him. Since then, thirteen of his close relatives, including his son, have been executed by the clerical regime.

Ayatollah Ganjei is incensed at the way he believes Iran is manipulating the cartoon row to its advantage.

“Look at the outrageous way in which they are making use of these cartoons. Listen to their daily television and radio broadcasts. They’re calling on people to come to demonstrations in support of the regime to show their anger at the cartoons. They are telling Iranians, ‘If you’re angry with these Westerners who are insulting the Prophet, then come and show your support for our nuclear program!’ These are the exact words of their propagandists being broadcast non-stop on the state-run radio and television”, the senior cleric said.

Despite his virulent attack on Iran’s clerical leaders, the ayatollah does not hide his criticism of newspapers that published the cartoons, but points out that opposition and criticism conducted in a lawful and civilised context are the only, and the most effective, way for Muslims to air their grievances.

“Freedom of speech is a sacred principle that genuine Islam has always upheld and encouraged”, Ayatollah Ganjei said. “For centuries, Muslim thinkers and philosophers openly debated issues that would be considered ‘blasphemous’ by the fanatical extremists who are today giving Islam such a bad name. But in any mature society, freedom of speech must be inextricably linked to social responsibility. You cannot offend the profound beliefs and sanctities of millions of people simply in the name of freedom of expression”.

Ayatollah Ganjei was sharply critical of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who said on Thursday about the cartoon row that “the issue is to confront Muslims and Christians and it is appropriate that Muslims should show their fury”.

“No one has done more harm to the name and image of Islam than the fanatics who rule Iran”, Ganjei said, and continued with a voice vibrant with emotion, “Who has executed 14-year-old girls in the name of Islam? Who has stoned women to death in the name of Islamic law? Who has been meddling in the internal affairs of Iraq in the name of exporting Islamic revolution to that country? Who has brought impoverishment, death and misery to Iran in the name of a divinely-ordained theocracy?”

“They are the worst enemies of Islam”, the ayatollah said, referring to Iran’s clerical leaders.

Ganjei also referred to specific information that he said has been obtained from inside Iran by the National Council of Resistance of Iran, a political coalition of opposition groups to which the moderate ayatollah belongs.

“We know for sure that the recent violence has been instigated by the Ministry of Intelligence and Security (Iran’s secret police), the Qods (Jerusalem) Force, the Foreign Ministry, the Islamic Culture and Communications Organization, the World Association of Ahl al-Beit (House of the Prophet), the World Forum for Proximity of Islamic Schools of Thought, and the Islamic Propaganda Organization”, he said, referring to several organisations set up by Tehran to spread the “message of the Islamic revolution among the Muslim masses”.

Ganjei said a radical Shiite cleric, Aboulghassem Khazali, and his son, Mohsen, who are on the governing board of Ahl al-Beit Association, travelled to Germany on February 9 to incite the Shiites in Europe. Ganjei accused an Iranian agent provocateur, whom he identified as Barati, an official in Ahl al-Beit, of being in active contact with Muslim fundamentalist cells in Europe and North America to incite them to violence over the cartoons.

“The attacks on the Western embassies in Tehran were clearly orchestrated by the government”, Ganjei said, noting that the tight security situation in the Iranian capital would not allow any “spontaneous” raid on diplomatic missions. “They have been telling their proxies in other countries to take similar actions”.

Ganjei urged the West to deny the Iranian regime an opportunity “to exploit Islam and repress those who stand for genuine Islam, the Islam of freedom and tolerance”.

“Ninety-nine percent of Iranians are Muslim and more than 90 percent of them want an end to this religious tyranny”, the ayatollah said.


Last edited by Oppenheimer on Sat Feb 11, 2006 9:30 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Oppenheimer



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PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 9:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Radical Islamists attack EU embassies in Iran capital
Fri. 10 Feb 2006
Iran Focus

http://www.iranfocus.com/modules/news/article.php?storyid=5722

Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10 – Radical Islamists affiliated to the Revolutionary Guards attacked on Friday the embassies of Britain, France, and Denmark in Tehran.

The French embassy was attacked by a mob of several-dozen hard-liners who hurled Molotov cocktails and stones at the building as they chanted “Death to France”.

A larger crowd had gathered outside the Danish embassy where they hurled stones and chanted “Death to Denmark” and “Death to America”.

Among the protestors was a cleric who read out a statement declaring Iran’s “right” to develop nuclear capabilities.

Later on, the British embassy also came under attack by a group of hard-liners. Protestors threw stones at the embassy site, which had been already been attacked several times earlier this week.

Danish and French dailies had carried controversial cartoons of the Islamic prophet Mohammad, depicting him negatively. The cartoons sparked protests worldwide. In Iran the Norwegian, Austrian, British, French, and Danish embassies all came under attack during the cartoon furore.

The United States has accused Tehran of deliberately inciting violence over the cartoons.
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cyrus
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 2:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

First of all we are condemning attacking any Embassy by Islamists anywhere.

Oppenheimer wrote:

it's all the Brit's fault....and about as probable as Antar claiming its all a zionist conspiracy...


This is called an insult and it is not welcomed here.

The problem is that you don't know past 300 years history of Brits in Iran and you defend the Brits based on past few months event or few nice comments by Blair.

To refresh your memory:

Please give us the list of Brits positive contributions to Iran during past 300 years of relation between two countries:
- exploitation of Iran resources,
- setting different groups against each other,
- Terror,
- Terror of Amir Kabir
- Testing Antrax in Iran during second world war,
- Plotting against Dr. Mossadegh and creating problem between Shah and Mossadegh,
- Plotting against Freedom in Iran by their British Agent Khomeni and the Network of British Clerics (Master Of Terror) ....
......

http://activistchat.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=1571
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
How can the Iranian people ever forget the pictures of Prince Charles embracing the despised Khatami on the eve of the sham elections and on the 25 anniversary of the Islamic Republic!

Or Jack Straw rushing to Tehran & Qom to embrace the despised Mullah$ like a trained chimpanse everytime the Islamist mafia snaps its fingers! This shamful support of genocide, and a brutal dictatorship is repulsive to all Iranians and anyone with any decency or humanity!

The more the Mullah$ sink, the more the UK, France and Germany rush in to save their monstrous creation, forgoeing all appearances in revealing their greedy support of a brutal, tyrnnical and despotic theocracy! Shame on the EU.

The more desperate the Mullahs get, the more the British, French and Germans rush in to legitimise their monstrous creation. EU's desperation is only as evident, pathetic, and self-destructive as the last dying dance of the Mullah$!

Blinded by Greed and Avarice, the EU bets on the Losing Horse!


---------------------------
The Filthy Colonialist British are Deporting Dying Iranian Asylum Applicants for Execution to their Mullah Buddies Yet Again! Evil or Very Mad


[b]The shameful support of the Islamist Iranian Mullahcracy by the British government is perhaps one of the most repulsive acts of modern day Neo Colonialism in our world!

The way and manner in which the British government installed this barbaric Mullahcracy and has continued to act as its protector and champion is offensive to any democratic minded person anywhere in our world!

The shameless British are responsible for 25 years of Islamist genocide, torture, mass imprisonment, despotic rule, oppression, stonings, amputations, poverty, ethnic cleansing, misogyny, and child molestation of the Iranian people in the hands of the Mullahcracy they installed and continue to sponsor, all in return for the mass looting of Iran's oil and gas.

Even though their own laws prevent an asylum applicant from being deported if they risk death and torture they are deporting 3 Kurdish dissidents to Iran for execution. Why? The men are scheduled for execution, and the British have no intention of doing anything other than handing them over to their Mullah buddies for execution. I don't support all the political beliefs of these individuals, however I cannot imagine how the British government could break their own laws in order to accomodate the Mullahs' massacres! The Greed and avarice of the Colinilaist British is frankly offensive to any human being in our world!
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 6:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Chill Cyrus- I was insulting no one, simply poitning out that in this instance, the loony-toon madness over the cartoons was not a Brit conspiracy.

I know the history very well, but some think that because the Brits screwed up so royally in the past that all things transpiring today are caused by them.

When in fact the facts in this case point directly to a Syrian/IRI/Hizbollah/Hamas collusion to instigate rioting in a premeditated attempt to incite holy war.

They needed an excuse, and the found one in the cartoons, but held off until the timing suited their purpose.

Now, if you think my calling attention to the facts is an insult so be it, and if my calling attention to the facts, rather than aquiesing to fiction and conspiracy theory in this case is also unwelcome, then so be it as well.

What I posted by way of assessment of regime intent ( US VP :Iranian President "Stange Duck" ) is no joke, nor something that can be dealt with in piecemeal fashion as so many other protests crushed by the IRI including this latest bus union strike has been so far. Yes the anger and discontent are mounting, but do they realize how little time there is left to act?

I have waited for the groups on that list I submitted to get their act together, sit down with each other and work out their differences prior to any "yes" by State Dept. So far, the opposition in my opinion is not worthy of the faith placed by the Iranian people to serve them, as the opposition is still mired in self-interest, political infighting, and personality conflicts.

Furthermore, since they cannot sit with each other, I can't see how they can expect the international community to sit with them.

Given this as the current state of play, is it any wonder that the international community has not lent their support all these years...aside from any other consideration they may have had? There was no one to give it to that could be trusted to serve the people interests.

I speak now as an American, one who has observed this intimately, as an objective observer.... One who has supported the Iranian people's aspirations for liberty for a long time, and in numerous ways.
One who has flat told those trying to push their agenda on the coatails of this "forum of the future" proposal that I don't play favorites, and no agenda would be included unless it was mutually decided upon by all opposition groups in a coordinated and concurrent manner, agreable among all. That until such time as the Dept of State approved the idea, then and only then after invitation was given, were they were free to bring whatever ideas they wished to the table...a table with no one sitting above the other, except the "host"....who would determine the time., place, and setting.

Fact is Cyrus, The US and EU, along with a few other free nations are quietly discussing these things, and how best to proceed. But I'll be damned if I'll see this turn into an utter disaster because the opposition doesn't have its act together. I'd rather simply withdraw the proposal and notification of that is right now Cyrus....This will be sent to all concerned on the list of parties interested, and I will make my assesment whether to do so or not based on the feedback, as well as any concrete plans made among those parties to sit with each other in consultation.

Time is so short Cyrus,and folks still don't understand....but hey, who listens to an American?

When folks were talking boycott, I told them it would only serve the mullahs...put 2 million on the street and remove the regime, I said. When Antar got appointed, I said they had three months to do it before he consolidated his position, nothing happened. When folks were enraged that Condi Rice had issued visa, I said wait, you'll see him hang himself with his own words in front of the entire international community, did he dissapoint? When AEI hosted separatists, I asked folks to let them hang themselves with thier own words, then react...but no, they made themselves look like fools trying to deny freedom of speech...I asked "how does a separatist become a democrat?" By including them in the process I said, but no, the opposition has no intent of inclusiveness, nor can it sit down with each other....too many chiefs...not enough indians.
All I am is the messenger, the Ghost-writer having presented a formal case to the international community on behalf of the Iranian people.
" Comes now this Iranian opposition group, to apprise you of the facts, the conclusions and suggestions we have been given to put forward herein this letter, as context to the 2005 UN Summit, and the pending address to the UN of the Islamic Republic regime's appointed president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, with the gravest concern for the welfare and common good of all people, and generations to come..." A formal case..Cyrus , and no one goes to court without an advocate to represent them and present the case...in the language the court can understand....John Bolton, being a lawyer, was being addressed in his own language..."Comes now...is used in every motion presented in a court of law in the United States....and it had profound effect on my government's thinking when I posed Iran a "test case" for UN reform.
Yet the opposition belittles the man who signed that letter on behalf of the opposition org. he coordinates, simply because he was smart enough to have an American put Iranian ideas and solutions together in words Americans can understand.....calling him the "Iranian Chalabi".

When folks in the opposition have used a shotgun approach to condem Islam, I said use a sniper rifle instead...target those that twist the teachings of Islam to their own evil political ends. The mullah's who seek to create a holy war have been well served by those who refuse to listen to logic..yet I have been accused of being out of touch....you yourself in a recent post Cyrus, have accused the US gov of having "hidden motivations" regarding Iran. If seeing an Iran whole, free, and at peace with it's neighbors is a "hidden intention" or if "regime change" is not a public declaration..YET! ....who are you or anyone else in the opposition to dictate the timing of it to the US gov? This impatience will sabotage your efforts waiting for US to get your act together for you, and it's used so much as an excuse not to sit at the table with each other as equals in the opposition...There is no "main opposition group" save that of the Iranian people themselves.

There is nothing further I can do for you or the opposition...I put that proposal forward to State, gathered the list together, not just in the hope that the interest shone in it would become manifest by the US gov. (which it still is a matter of timing and discussion) but that as I said to you, everyone on that list needs to work together, sit down with each other prior to find some unity and cohesion. You have failed to do so.

The letter yesterday from 600 Iranians to the people of the world made it very clear that there was no excuse for the opposition not to come together, as "time was short" they said.

The opposition has no ears to hear common sense from this American, so be it...listen to your own people.

Unless you and the rest of the opposition change, it is up to the people to act, despite having no faith in the future, or having any leadership. Who am I to ask anything of them, more than they themselves might ask of themselves in order to anticipate miracles? They say there are no miracles, and they are correct. They have given and suffered enough, all the while the opposition has bickered, complained, and pissed away every opportunity presented to it. And quite honestly, I'm sick and tired of hearing you ***** and moan about how nobody's doing anything for you lately...."why not Iran first?" You asked.....

Those the Iranian people depended on have let them twist in the wind, for failing to come together in unity..so far..yet at the same time, those they complained about for so long have gotten their act together in unified ways to address the threat to the global community. Even Russia and China are no longer sitting on the fence....the roles now are reversed.."who is the appeaser?" Those who have failed to act together to serve their people. The fate of mankind will not wait for the opposition much longer, and the leadership will have to answer to history.

I don't say this to insult you Cyrus, I say this because it is a stark fact of reality, and you need to Wake UP! I don't provide the assesment here to shame the opposition to be different that what it is, you can only change yourselves. I say this because it desperately needs to be said now, before it's too late.

"Yet the destination of history is determined by human action, and every great movement of history comes to a point of choosing. Lincoln could have accepted peace at the cost of disunity and continued slavery. Martin Luther King could have stopped at Birmingham or at Selma, and achieved only half a victory over segregation. The United States could have accepted the permanent division of Europe, and been complicit in the oppression of others. Today, having come far in our own historical journey, we must decide: Will we turn back, or finish well?"
-GWBush Jan.31, 2006


This essential question was not for American citizens alone, but for the free world to ponder.

I ask that the whole of the Iranian Population to ponder it wisely also, for now is the time to put doubts aside, stand together in unity of purpose, and "finish well" this march to freedom.

Remember, Cowboy diplomacy is fully dependant on the strength and temperament of the horse ridden.

------------------

You can take what I've said here in testimony, as the whole truth, and nothing but the truth give cause to the opposition to come together in unity, with that essential question...if not them, then perhaps those few remaining bloggers in Iran will carry the word to the people.

You have some good ideas, but this can't stop at the gates of parliment....we're talking about the "storming of the Bastille"....nothing less.

"let them eat cake" the mullah said....well, not quite as tasty as that....and you get my meaning I think.

Maybe you're just in one of your moods Cyrus, but you do yourself no favors by insulting a friend who is telling you like it is, for your own good....not mine....

I'll continue to speak out on behalf of the Iranian people's freedom, privately, to my Government, and to those in it who will listen, and other governments as well.

But Sir, as of this moment, I am done with you, and the opposition totally, until you ALL get your act together and quit playing games and power trips on each other.



Best wishes, and good luck.

Eric Jette a.k.a. "Oppenheimer"
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 10:42 am    Post subject: US Prepares Military Blitz Aagainst Iran's Nuclear Sites Reply with quote

US Prepares Military Blitz Aagainst Iran's Nuclear Sites

February 12, 2006
Telegraph
Philip Sherwell in Washington
Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/02/12/wiran12.xml&sSheet=/portal/2006/02/12/ixportaltop.html

Click To Enlarge


Strategists at the Pentagon are drawing up plans for devastating bombing raids backed by submarine-launched ballistic missile attacks against Iran's nuclear sites as a "last resort" to block Teheran's efforts to develop an atomic bomb.

Central Command and Strategic Command planners are identifying targets, assessing weapon-loads and working on logistics for an operation, the Sunday Telegraph has learnt.

They are reporting to the office of Donald Rumsfeld, the defence secretary, as America updates plans for action if the diplomatic offensive fails to thwart the Islamic republic's nuclear bomb ambitions. Teheran claims that it is developing only a civilian energy programme.

"This is more than just the standard military contingency assessment," said a senior Pentagon adviser. "This has taken on much greater urgency in recent months."

The prospect of military action could put Washington at odds with Britain which fears that an attack would spark violence across the Middle East, reprisals in the West and may not cripple Teheran's nuclear programme.
But the steady flow of disclosures about Iran's secret nuclear operations and the virulent anti-Israeli threats of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has prompted the fresh assessment of military options by Washington. The most likely strategy would involve aerial bombardment by long-distance B2 bombers, each armed with up to 40,000lb of precision weapons, including the latest bunker-busting devices. They would fly from bases in Missouri with mid-air refuelling.

The Bush administration has recently announced plans to add conventional ballistic missiles to the armoury of its nuclear Trident submarines within the next two years. If ready in time, they would also form part of the plan of attack.

Teheran has dispersed its nuclear plants, burying some deep underground, and has recently increased its air defences, but Pentagon planners believe that the raids could seriously set back Iran's nuclear programme.

Iran was last weekend reported to the United Nations Security Council by the International Atomic Energy Agency for its banned nuclear activities. Teheran reacted by announcing that it would resume full-scale uranium enrichment - producing material that could arm nuclear devices.

The White House says that it wants a diplomatic solution to the stand-off, but President George W Bush has refused to rule out military action and reaffirmed last weekend that Iran's nuclear ambitions "will not be tolerated".

Sen John McCain, the Republican front-runner to succeed Mr Bush in 2008, has advocated military strikes as a last resort. He said recently: "There is only only one thing worse than the United States exercising a military option and that is a nuclear-armed Iran."

Senator Joe Lieberman, a Democrat, has made the same case and Mr Bush is expected to be faced by the decision within two years.

By then, Iran will be close to acquiring the knowledge to make an atomic bomb, although the construction will take longer. The President will not want to be seen as leaving the White House having allowed Iran's ayatollahs to go atomic.

In Teheran yesterday, crowds celebrating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic revolution chanted "Nuclear technology is our inalienable right" and cheered Mr Ahmadinejad when he said that Iran may reconsider membership of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

He was defiant over possible economic sanctions.
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 10:51 am    Post subject: Re: US Prepares Military Blitz Aagainst Iran's Nuclear Sites Reply with quote

cyrus wrote:
US Prepares Military Blitz Aagainst Iran's Nuclear Sites

February 12, 2006
Telegraph
Philip Sherwell in Washington
Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/02/12/wiran12.xml&sSheet=/portal/2006/02/12/ixportaltop.html


The prospect of military action could put Washington at odds with Britain which fears that an attack would spark violence across the Middle East, reprisals in the West and may not cripple Teheran's nuclear programme.
.


The British Media and Journalist putting it in a clever and smooth way that the US government wants to Bomb Iran but nice and innocent British government against it , give me a break...
Due to the fact that the US enjoys between 70 to 80% support among Iranian people and EU3 lost all its credibility in past 27 years therefore majority of decision makers in US government are not interested in bombing Iran, and in contrary this time the EU3 prefer Iran bombing by US ASAP.


The US strategist and planners know very well that the Bombs when dropped can kill many innocents and this is not the preferred method and it is considered as the last possible option.

In past few years the more the Mullah$ sink, the more the UK, France and Germany rush in to save their monstrous creation, forgoeing all appearances in revealing their greedy support of a brutal, tyrnnical and despotic theocracy! In the spirit of winning the Mullahs heart and mind the EU3 pushed US State Dept. not to help Iranian oppositions financially.
The hard fact is that US congress approved to help NGOs Human Rights Activists inside Iran but the State Dept. did not spend the money, why?
This is valid question.

Quote:

The Honorable Sam Brownback (R-Kans.)
U.S. Senate



The United States and the international community should not tolerate the Iranian regime’s disregard for human rights and global security. The government denies its citizens basic rights, is rife with corruption, actively supports terrorist groups, and is developing a nuclear weapons program. The quest for a nuclear program is not about energy; it is being used to intimidate threats to Iranian power, to dominate the Middle East, and to threaten the United States and its allies, specifically Israel.

The United States must utilize a two-track approach to the Iranian crisis, challenging the regime both externally and internally. The U.S. government should appropriate more money to support democracy, freedom of the press, and human rights in Iran. The secretary of state should appoint a special envoy for human rights in Iran who can coordinate efforts by international organizations, regional entities, and nongovernmental organizations. The World Bank should stop lending money to Iran, which has received $1.1 billion in the past three years. Regime change in Iran can happen from within, and the people of Iran can champion their own future.


cyrus wrote:
Grants to promote democracy in Iran delayed

By Barbara Slavin, USA TODAY
Mon Oct 24, 7:48 AM ET
Source: http://news.yahoo.com/s/usatoday/20051024/ts_usatoday/grantstopromotedemocracyinirandelayed


Six months after announcing a plan to give $3 million to promote democracy in Iran, the State Department has yet to spend the money.

The delay comes as the United States is urging Iran to stop interfering in Iraq and to return to nuclear talks with three European nations. The Iranian government has criticized the money, which is meant to go to groups working inside Iran, as meddling in its affairs.


The United States is preoccupied with the nuclear issue, said Patrick Clawson, deputy director of the Washington Institute for Near East Affairs.

Also, the prospects for improving democracy in Iran diminished after the election of a hard-line president there in June.

Tom Casey, a State Department spokesman, said the delay is bureaucratic. "There are no outside political considerations affecting these decisions," he said.

Sen. Sam Brownback (news, bio, voting record), R-Kan., who put the $3 million in the budget, expressed frustration with the delay. "This money should be made available immediately for those seeking to express their opposition to the hard-line Islamic government and to promote internationally recognized human rights," he said.

State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said projects to promote democracy had been approved over the summer. But no funds have been dispersed, he said, because the decision came too close to the beginning of the new fiscal year, which began Oct. 1. McCormack also said that the administration isn't planning to announce grantees for fear they would be harmed by the Iranian government.


The State Department has identified grant recipients in such countries as Belarus and Uzbekistan. By not naming them in Iran, it risks having the program look like covert action, which it isn't meant to be.


The Iran effort was a major departure for the United States, which hasn't tried to openly funnel funds into Iran for such a purpose since breaking diplomatic relations with the Islamic government 25 years ago while it held U.S. hostages.


In April, the State Department's Bureau of Democracy Human Rights and Labor began soliciting proposals for the Iran program and was poised to announce the winning bids in August, according to the bureau.


But at the time, Iran broke off talks with three European countries over its nuclear program and resumed efforts to make nuclear fuel. The United States is trying to restart those talks and to bring stability to Iraq, where Iran has major influence.


Brownback, who has been an advocate for human rights in North Korea, said human rights and democracy promotion in Iran "should remain top and pressing issues if we hope to achieve a freer and more prosperous Middle East."


cyrus wrote:
Intl. Intelligence

Brownback: U.S. must fund Iran groups


http://www.upi.com/InternationalIntelligence/view.php?StoryID=20060202-013228-7865r

WASHINGTON, Feb. 2 (UPI) -- A top Republican lawmaker Thursday called for a tenfold increase in U.S. aid to support democratic change and human rights inside Iran.

In a speech at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington, Sen. Sam Brownback, R-Kan., called for U.S. aid to be increased from $10 million to $100 million this year.

"This is a pittance compared to the problem," said Brownback, "This Iranian government, even without nuclear weapons, is a viscous tyrant."

The comments come as the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna looks likely to refer Iran to the U.N. Security Council for its nuclear program. The West fears Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons, Tehran denies the charge.

In his State of the Union address Tuesday night, President Bush called on Iranians to "win your own freedom."

On Thursday, Brownback called the idea of U.S. military intervention not feasible and emphasized the importance of supporting Iranians willing to stand up to their leadership.

"Regime change can happen from within in Iran and I am confident that the Iranian people can champion their own future if given half a chance," he said.

Brownback said the United States must support independent human rights groups in Iran who have denounced terrorism and the regime. He said Washington - with U.N. and European Union help -- should send a special envoy to Iran to discuss human rights. He also said the World Bank should stop lending money to Iran.

"There is a two-track solution to the crisis in Iran -- external and internal -- and we have a strong role to play in both," he said.

Brownback said the United States would have to work creatively to fund Iranians while minimizing the danger of those working to promote democratic change in Iran.

Lorne Craner, president of the International Republican Institute, told United Press International getting money into Iran would require the assistance of the Iranian expatriates the world over.

"There is no shortage of people who want to see things move forward in Iran and there is no lack of means," he said.


cyrus wrote:


January 18, 2006, 8:43 a.m.
Do the Right Thing
Let’s avoid making a catastrophe out of an embarrassment.
Dr. Michael Ledeen

Source: http://www.nationalreview.com/ledeen/ledeen200601180843.asp

Bit by bit we are getting to the inevitable showdown with Iran. This administration, like every other Western government, has hoped against hope that it would not come to this. President George W. Bush, for reasons good and bad, threw in with the Europeans' phony-negotiation scheme, even though he knew it would fail. Like the others, he hoped that revolution would erupt, and that decisive action on our part would not be necessary. Like the others, he preferred not to face the hard fact that revolutions rarely succeed without external support. Had Ronald Reagan been around, he would have told W. that the democratic revolution that ended the Cold War only finally succeeded when the United States supported it.

The failure to craft an effective Iran policy has plagued this administration, and indeed the entire American political class, for five long years. Calls of "faster, please" were dismissed, in large part because they failed to resonate in the policy community, aside from a few brave souls in Congress (Jon Kyl, John Cornyn, Rick Santorum, Sam Brownback, Illeana Ros-Lehtinen come to mind. No thanks to the nominal leaders, Henry Hyde and Richard Lugar, both in full denial, in lockstep with Foggy Bottom and Langley).

Wishful thinking still dominates global "leadership." The pathetic Jack Straw intones, "I don't think we should rush our fences here.


Quote:


Last edited by cyrus on Sun Feb 12, 2006 8:12 pm; edited 1 time in total
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 7:47 pm    Post subject: Mathematical Model Reply with quote

Mathematical model
A mathematical model is an abstract model that uses mathematical language to describe the behaviour of a system. Mathematical models are used particularly in the natural sciences and engineering disciplines (such as physics, biology, and electrical engineering) but also in the social sciences (such as economics, sociology and political science); physicists, engineers, computer scientists, and economists use mathematical models most extensively.

Background
Often when engineers analyze a system to be controlled or optimized, they use a mathematical model. In analysis, engineers can build a descriptive model of the system as a hypothesis of how the system could work, or try to estimate how an unforeseeable event could affect the system. Similarly, in control of a system, engineers can try out different control approaches in simulations.
A mathematical model usually describes a system by a set of variables and a set of equations that establish relationships between the variables. The values of the variables can be practically anything; real or integer numbers, boolean values or strings, for example. The variables represent some properties of the system, for example, measured system outputs often in the form of signals, timing data, counters, event occurrence (yes/no). The actual model is the set of functions that describe the relations between the different variables.
Building blocks
There are six basic groups of variables: decision variables, input variables, state variables, exogenous variables, random variables, and output variables. Since there can be many variables of each type, the variables are generally represented by vectors.
Decision variables are sometimes known as independent variables. Exogenous variables are sometimes known as parameters or constants. The variables are not independent of each other as the state variables are dependent on the decision, input, random, and exogenous variables. Furthermore, the output variables are dependent on the state of the system (represented by the state variables).
Objectives and constraints of the system and its users can be represented as functions of the output variables or state variables. The objective functions will depend on the perspective of the model's user. Depending on the context, an objective function is also known as an index of performance, as it is some measure of interest to the user. Although there is no limit to the number of objective functions and constraints a model can have, using or optimizing the model becomes more involved (computationally).

Classifying mathematical models
Mathematical models can be classified in several ways, some of which are described below.
1. Linear vs. nonlinear: If the objective functions and constraints are represented entirely by linear equations, then the model is known as a linear model. If one or more of the objective functions or constraints are represented with a nonlinear equation, then the model is known as a nonlinear model.
2. Deterministic vs. probabilistic (stochastic): A deterministic model performs the same way for a given set of initial conditions, while in a stochastic model, randomness is present, even when given an identical set of initial conditions.
3. Static vs. dynamic: A static model does not account for the element of time, while a dynamic model does. Dynamic models typically are represented with difference equations or differential equations.
4. Lumped parameters vs. distributed parameters: If the model is homogeneous (consistent state throughout the entire system) the parameters are lumped. If the model is heterogeneous (varying state within the system), then the parameters are distributed. Distributed parameters are typically represented with partial differential equations

A priori information
Mathematical modelling problems are often classified into black box or white box models, according to how much a priori information is available of the system. A black-box model is a system of which there is no a priori information available. A white-box model (also called glass box or clear box) is a system where all necessary information is available. Practically all systems are somewhere between the black-box and white-box models, so this concept only works as an intuitive guide for approach.
Usually it is preferable to use as much a priori information as possible to make the model more accurate. Therefore the white-box models are usually considered easier, because if you have used the information correctly, then the model will behave correctly. Often the a priori information comes in forms of knowing the type of functions relating different variables. For example, if we make a model of how a medicine works in a human system, we know that usually the amount of medicine in the blood is an exponentially decaying function. But we are still left with several unknown parameters; how rapidly does the medicine amount decay, and what is the initial amount of medicine in blood? This example is therefore not a completely white-box model. These parameters have to be estimated through some means before one can use the model.
In black-box models one tries to estimate both the functional form of relations between variables and the numerical parameters in those functions. Using a priori information we could end up, for example, with a set of functions that probably could describe the system adequately. If there is no a priori information we would try to use functions as general as possible to cover all different models. An often used approach for black-box models are neural networks which usually do not assume almost anything about the incoming data. The problem with using a large set of functions to describe a system is that estimating the parameters becomes increasingly difficult when the amount of parameters (and different types of functions) increases.

Complexity
Another basic issue is the complexity of a model. If we were, for example, modelling the flight of an airplane, we could embed each mechanical part of the airplane into our model and would thus acquire an almost white-box model of the system. However, the computational cost of adding such a huge amount of detail would effectively inhibit the usage of such a model. Additionally, the uncertainty would increase due to an overly complex system, because each separate part induces some amount of variance into the model. It is therefore usually appropriate to make some approximations to reduce the model to a sensible size. Engineers often can accept some approximations in order to get a more robust and simple model. For example Newton's classical mechanics is an approximated model of the real world. Still, Newton's model is quite sufficient for most ordinary-life situations, that is, as long as particle speeds are well below the speed of light, and we study macro-particles only.

Training

Any model which is not pure white-box contains some parameters that can be used to fit the model to the system it shall describe. If the modelling is done by a neural network, the optimization of parameters is called training. In more conventional modelling through explicitly given mathematical functions, parameters are determined by curve fitting.
Model evaluation
An important part of the modelling process is the evaluation of an acquired model. How do we know if a mathematical model describes the system well? This is not an easy question to answer. Usually the engineer has a set of measurements from the system which are used in creating the model. Then, if the model was built well, the model will adequately show the relations between system variables for the measurements at hand. The question then becomes: How do we know that the measurement data are a representative set of possible values? Does the model describe well the properties of the system between the measurement data (interpolation)? Does the model describe well events outside the measurement data (extrapolation)?
A common approach is to split the measured data into two parts; training data and verification data. The training data are used to train the model, that is, to estimate the model parameters (see above). The verification data are used to evaluate model performance. Assuming that the training data and verification data are not the same, we can assume that if the model describes the verification data well, then the model describes the real system well.
However, this still leaves the extrapolation question open. How well does this model describe events outside the measured data? Consider again Newtonian classical mechanics-model. Newton made his measurements without advanced equipment, so he could not measure properties of particles travelling at speeds close to the speed of light. Likewise, he did not measure the movements of molecules and other small particles, but macro particles only. It is then not surprising that his model does not extrapolate well into these domains, even though his model is quite sufficient for ordinary life physics.


Political science

Political science is a social science discipline that deals with the theory and practice of politics and the description and analysis of political systems and political behavior. It is oriented around academia, theory, and research.
Fields and subfields of political science include political theory and philosophy, civics and comparative politics, national systems, cross-national political analysis, political development, international relations, foreign policy, international law, politics, public administration, administrative behavior, public law, judicial behavior, and public policy.
Approaches to the discipline include classical political philosophy, structuralism, and behavioralism, realism, pluralism, and institutionalism. Political science, as one of the social sciences, uses methods and techniques that relate to the kinds of inquiries sought: primary sources such as historical documents and official records, secondary sources such as scholarly journal articles, survey research, statistical analysis, and model building.

Both Theory and Consipracy Theory Must Be Proved by Deductive Reasoning

When a theory is based on Deductive reasoning is not considered as Consipracy Theory.
Very often when people are losing in a discussion regarding a subject they use a Consipracy Theory Tag to descredit the other side of discussion. As the Valid Theory must be proved by deduction method so as the Consipracy Theory must be proved as Consipracy Theory by deduction method without any dogma otherwise can not be considered as Conspiracy Theory. Just stating something as Conspiracy Theory is not enough and the person must give reasons why a Theory is the Conspiracy Theory.

In traditional Aristotelian logic, deductive reasoning is inference in which the conclusion is of no greater generality than the premises, as opposed to inductive reasoning, where the conclusion is of greater generality than the premises. Other theories of logic define deductive reasoning as inference in which the conclusion is just as certain as the premises, as opposed to inductive reasoning, where the conclusion can have less certainty than the premises. In both approaches, the conclusion of a deductive inference is necessitated by the premises: the premises can't be true while the conclusion is false. (In Aristotelian logic, the premises in inductive reasoning can also be related in this way to the conclusion.)

Examples
Valid:

All men are mortal.
Socrates is a man.
Therefore Socrates is mortal.
The picture is above the desk.
The desk is above the floor.
Therefore the picture is above the floor.
All birds have wings.
A cardinal is a bird.
Therefore a cardinal has wings.

Invalid:
Every criminal opposes the government.
Everyone in the opposition party opposes the government.
Therefore everyone in the opposition party is a criminal.
This is invalid because the premises fail to establish commonality between membership in the opposition party and being a criminal. This is the famous fallacy of the undistributed middle.
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cyrus
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Joined: 24 Jun 2003
Posts: 4993

PostPosted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 8:01 pm    Post subject: Iran's geo-strategic center of importance. Reply with quote



http://www.azadeganiran.org/Homepage.htm

Iran, because of its size, population, cultural identity, resources and its location as a historical, geographic and an economic link between East and West, in addition to bridging two vital centers of energy, namely; the Caspian Sea and the Persian Gulf assumes an importance greater than ever before. Iran needs strong secular democratic government.
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ViaHHakimi



Joined: 22 Jul 2004
Posts: 142

PostPosted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 8:37 pm    Post subject: Germans to face charges in Iran nuclear probe Reply with quote

Dears,

Read the article below, which is supposed to come from a reliable source (REUTERS)!
Open your eyes & see what greed can do to devastate humanity. And all from Europeans who hide them selves behind Human Rights, Amnesty International, Free Speech & other irrelevant excuses.
We are not going to be fooled again by all this long empty talks. No more 1979 brain washing!
Hashem.


----------------------------------------------------------

Germans to face charges in Iran nuclear probe
11 Feb 2006 14:53:17 GMT

Source: Reuters

By Louis Charbonneau


BERLIN, Feb 11 (Reuters) - German prosecutors are preparing criminal charges against a group of Germans whom they suspect of illegally helping Iran obtain technology that could be used to develop nuclear weapons, officials and diplomats told Reuters.

The General Prosecutor's Office in Karlsruhe said it was in contact with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in Vienna, the U.N. nuclear watchdog, about its investigation into nuclear proliferation activities.

"The General Prosecutor's Office is contact with the IAEA in Vienna in connection with an investigation of suspected proliferation directed by an intelligence agency," said Frauke-Katrin Scheuten, a senior federal prosecutor.

She declined to give further details.

However, a European Union diplomat familiar with the investigation said the prosecutors were focusing on a group of more than half a dozen Germans living in Germany, Switzerland and South Africa.

"They are preparing charges against around eight men, mostly for helping Iran, but also Libya, get centrifuge and other nuclear technology," the EU diplomat said on condition of anonymity.

Centrifuges are used to enrich uranium for use as fuel in nuclear power plants or in weapons. The sale of centrifuge components and design information is highly restricted and is subject to strict export controls in most countries.

The diplomat said the Germans were suspected of having acted as middlemen to help Iranian intelligence agents acquire technology that Western countries refused to sell to Iran.

KHAN NETWORK

Germany, like other EU countries and the United States, fears Iran is developing nuclear weapons under cover of a civilian atomic energy program. Tehran denies wanting bombs and says it is interested only in generating electricity.

The diplomat said the German suspects, some of whom are already in investigative custody, were linked to the so-called "Khan network", a nuclear black market run by Pakistan's now-disgraced nuclear scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan.

Khan, the father of Pakistan's atom bomb, has admitted supplying nuclear secrets to North Korea, Iran and Libya, which in December 2003 vowed to abandon its nuclear programmed.

The discovery of Libya's atomic weapons programmed has helped the IAEA unearth a mass of detail about Khan's network, although its full extent remains unknown, IAEA officials say.

The participation of Germans in Khan's network has been known for some time. However, several diplomats familiar with the German investigation said prosecutors had uncovered signs that German involvement was greater than previously suspected.

"It may be that the idea that Khan was directing this network is a bit simplistic. The involvement of Germans was extensive," one diplomat said on condition of anonymity.

He added that citizens of other European countries -- including France, Belgium, Switzerland and Britain -- had contributed to Iran's nuclear programmed, the extent of which it hid from the IAEA for nearly two decades until it declared its uranium enrichment programmed in 2003.

The IAEA's board of governors decided this month to report Iran to the U.N. Security Council, which has the power to impose sanctions, over fears it is developing atomic weapons.

TREASON CHARGE

David Albright, a former U.N. weapons inspector and head of the Washington-based think tank the Institute for Science and International Security, welcomed Germany's plans to prosecute its citizens for involvement in helping Iran and other countries get sensitive nuclear technology.

"I don't see this as an indictment of Germany at all. I think the reason you're seeing these cases is that Germany is so determined to get these people," Albright, who is an expert on nuclear export controls, told Reuters.

"Some of these guys are hardened criminals who were determined to do their business," he said.

One German official familiar with the case, also speaking on condition of anonymity, said that the prosecutors would probably charge some or all the suspects with treason.

Albright said treason was the obvious charge "since it's so much easier to prove than some other criminal charges". Treason involving the sale of nuclear secrets to Iran in the 1980s and 1990s is unlikely to be subject to a statute of limitations.

This would not be the first case of treason charges against a German citizen for helping a country in the Middle East with uranium enrichment. In 1999, Karl-Heinz Schaab was found guilty of treason for providing Iraq with classified documents about centrifuge technology for a secret atomic programmed.

After the discovery of Iraq's nuclear weapons programmed in 1991, Germany tightened its export control laws, which Albright said made it "much more difficult for proliferators to operate".

Last month German federal prosecutors charged two German citizens with espionage, and diplomats and intelligence officials said they were suspected of helping Iran develop missiles that could be used to carry nuclear warheads.

Diplomats familiar with the German investigation said prosecutors were not yet ready to file formal charges against the men, since they were still in the process of gathering evidence. There is also the complicated question of extradition requests for some people living abroad, they said.

Gerhard Wisser, a German living in South Africa, and his Swiss colleague Daniel Geiges were arrested in September 2004 after local prosecutors said they had evidence linking them to the Khan network. They remain in South African custody.
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cyrus
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PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2006 4:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oppenheimer wrote:

When folks were talking boycott, I told them it would only serve the mullahs...put 2 million on the street and remove the regime, I said.



It is not as simple as you have suggested, the opposition has limited resources . We should not forget that the Islamist regime has executed over 120,000 political prisoners and freedom-loving Iranians in less than 2 decades without strong objection from G8.
In order to bring 2 million on the street, it requires organization with security forces backing or arming some of the youth or guarantes from US government and US Forces protection that the Islamist regime does not masacre the ordinary unarmed civilian otherwise the islamists have potential to massacre unarmed civilian and without necessary prtotection we will not see million in the street of Tehran.

Oppenheimer wrote:

So far, the opposition in my opinion is not worthy of the faith placed by the Iranian people to serve them, as the opposition is still mired in self-interest, political infighting, and personality conflicts.

Furthermore, since they cannot sit with each other, I can't see how they can expect the international community to sit with them.



We should not forget that there are too many Islamist Agents in US and other countries who are paid by Oil Money and these people are creating problems among oppositions ….. You are distorting some of the facts regarding opposition, 90% of Iranian oppositions are united for regime change, free society and secular democracy.

The majority of Iranian oppositions from different groups are in agreement with most of the following guideline and this is called Unity.
Due to limitation of our resources we should not expect more than what they have done so far considering the fact that they are scattered over many countries.

cyrus wrote:


ActivistChat 2006 Guideline Framework


1. The "War on Terror" is UNWINNABLE and the world peace can not be achieved as long as the Unelected Islamists Terror and Torture Masters are in power in Iran. The terror state and fear society can not create peace and stability.

2. Iranian people can decide about Nuclear Energy, Nuclear Research and Atomic Bomb after the regime change when they have established stable secular democracy and FREE society until then Iran should avoid any kind of Nuclear research program, resulting to acquire Atomic Bomb, under Islamist regime control.

3. Territorial integrity and national sovereignty of Iran.

4. Complete separation of religion from the State.

5. Acceptance of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.

6. Free, open and democratic referendum to elect the type of the new Government of Iran in the post-IRI era.

7. Minimum standard of living for all citizens of Iran and equal opportunity for all citizens to benefit from country's national wealth.

8. To avoid nuclear war, our message to Iranian people inside Iran: General Strike Now, our message to Security Forces (Police, Pasdaran and Military) must act now for regime change and replacing it with Free society and Secular Democracy. The Iranian people have already spoken by boycotting Elections. The Armed forces must choose between defending and serving the people or serving Mullahs. This is up to armed and security forces to choose between SHAME and HONOR, serving Mullahs or their Sisters, Brothers, Fathers & Mothers who pay their salary.
To avoid war Iranian people of all ages do not have any choice other than be prepared to fight to free their homeland from Viruses of Iranian society whether the armed forces serve them or serve the enemy of freedom and free society. Iranian people should be prepared for final battle for freeing their homeland and must not forget that their FOREVER leader Cyrus the Great died in battlefield in 530 BC at the age of 60 and not in bed.

9. Work within high standard of code of ethics not to fight with other political groups or fellow FREE Iran Activists unless they are violating one of the key principles or moving against the concept of Free Society and secular democracy.

10. We are Free Iran Activists and Watch Group monitoring high government officials, Journalists , writers and scholars words and their actions based on the following direction from James Madison:
"If men were angels, no government would be necessary. If angels were to govern men, neither external nor internal controls on government would be necessary. In framing a government which is to be administered by men! over men, the great difficulty lies in this: you must first enable the government to control the governed; and in the next place oblige it to control itself. A dependence on the people is, no doubt, the primary control on the government; but experience has taught mankind the necessity of auxiliary precautions. "
The Federalist No. 51 (James Madison).

11. Support and promote people, groups and leadership who are making positive contributions for Human Rights, Regime Change in Iran, Free
Iran, Free Society and Secular democracy from Center, Right and Left.




We thank all compatriots and organizations who contributed for defining part of above Guideline Framework for Human Rights, Regime Change in Iran, Free Iran, Free Society and Secular Democracy .
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Joined: 26 Feb 2004
Posts: 1672

PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2006 5:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Iranians show massive rejection of the Islamic regime at
the occasion of its 27th birthday

SMCCDI (Information Service)
February 11, 2006

Millions of Iranians inflicted another heavy slap to the
face of the shaky and unpopular Islamic regime by
boycotting its "27th anniversary revolution celebration" by
staying home, or far from the official gatherings.

The regime's desperate leadership was hoping to bring
millions in the streets by playing their nationalistic or
religious feelings. But in Tehran, which was supposed to
become a show room, the regime was unable to muster more
than 70 or 80 thousand professional demonstrators and
government employees and schools' students. Many of them,
such as most governmental employees, are known to be forced
to participate in official gatherings and others are
fanatics or paid demonstrators. Hundreds of buses had
transferred thousands of such demonstrators to the Capital.

For reference purposes, there are more than 12-million
inhabitants in Tehran, the capital of Iran.

The SMCCDI Coordinator, who was interviewed by the Persian
service of "Voice of America" (VOA) Satellite TV, slammed
the Islamic regime for its dark records and the threats
posed to the People of Iran and the world.

In part of the live interview from Washington DC, Aryo B.
Pirouznia, who was speaking at the occasion of the Islamic
revolution's anniversary, stated: "The dark event plunged
Iran in the situation which we're now and has more in its
package due to its fanatical and backwarded ideology...
Without doubt, millions of young Iranians are wondering how
this happened and why the elder generation facilitated the
take of power of a group which took from Iranians all their
social and economic liberties and plunged the country into
the barbarian age..."

"The younger generation of Iran, which is composed by
millions of individuals, has long turned its back to the
Islamic regime and it?s looking toward modernity,
secularity and nationalism... This claim can be easily
backed due to the lack of popular participation in the
today's official rallies, as well as, the refusal of
Iranians to participate in those anti-cartoons' violent
demos..." Pirouznia added.

On the question of the prospect of a unified Iranian
opposition, he stated:" You have more and more Iranians
that are breaking their silence and protesting openly
against the regime.. The problem till now has been the
negative influence exerted by some of those so-called
opposition leaders that are not even able to reach the
minds and souls of millions of young Iranians who are fed
up with the same usual slogans... A clear National and
Secular program, along with persistency and consistency is
needed and hoped by millions of Iranians.. They don't want
just talks or those looking simply to seize the power by
making controversial deals...The road should be open now
for active and trusted opponents as Iranians have clearly
shown the rejection of the same usual faces and their old
methods..."

http://daneshjoo.org/publishers/smccdinews/article_4512.shtml

----------------------------------

Comments / Nazariat:
Tel: +1 (972) 504-6864
Fax: +1 (972) 491-9866
E.mail: smccdi@daneshjoo.org

www.daneshjoo.org www.iranstudents.org

The "Student Movement Coordination Committee for Democracy
in Iran" (SMCCDI) / "Komite e Hamahangui e Jonbesh e
Daneshjoo i Baraye Democracy dar Iran"
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