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'Neocons' empowered by Bush win

 
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stefania



Joined: 17 Jul 2003
Posts: 4250
Location: Italy

PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2004 11:49 am    Post subject: 'Neocons' empowered by Bush win Reply with quote

'Neocons' empowered by Bush win

http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=JPost/JPArticle/Printer&cid=1099451901887&p=1078113566627

Janine Zacharia, THE JERUSALEM POST

US President George W. Bush's victory over Senator John Kerry could trigger the promotion, rather than the replacement, of the architects of the Iraq war and lead to little reevaluation of his current foreign policy approach, political observers said Wednesday
.
The neoconservative thinkers, led in part by Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz, who pushed hard for the war which has turned into a budget-busting occupation plagued by chaos and violence are expected by some to achieve even greater prominence over the next four years.

Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, despite calls for his resignation following the Abu Ghraib prison scandal, is expected to remain in his post. And there is wide speculation that National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice will replace Secretary of State Colin Powell, with Wolfowitz replacing Rice as the president's chief adviser on security and international issues. Wolfowitz could also be considered for the secretary of state job, sources here say.

Other Bush loyalists, including Undersecretary of State for Arms Control and International Security John Bolton, are expected to be promoted.
Michael O'Hanlon, a senior fellow of foreign policy at the Brookings Institution, predicted that Bush would not "in any way be shy about putting the people he wants where he wants them... So if he wants Wolfowitz as secretary of state or defense, he'll go for it even if the rest of Washington is saying he's too much the architect of a troubled Iraq policy."

A strengthened Republican majority in the Senate will also make it easier for Bush to appoint people to foreign policy positions that require Senate approval.

The war in Iraq, both Republicans and Democrats agree, afflicted, rather than benefited, Bush's race for the White House. But unlike in 2000, Bush won a clear majority of the popular vote 51 percent in what the White House is describing as a fresh mandate to continue along its foreign and domestic agendas.

"He got elected in spite of public dissatisfaction over Iraq," CNN political analyst Bill Schneider said.

But Bush's leadership in the war on terrorism seemed to trump possible disillusionment among the majority of voters about the outcome so far in Iraq. And, in the end, Iraq proved hardly a top concern despite its prominence late in the campaign. Twenty-one percent of American voters cited moral values as the issue that mattered most when voting, followed by the economy (20%), terrorism (18%), and Iraq (15%).

"The Iraq war was probably on balance not helpful to the president. On the other hand, when voters looked at who they wanted to lead them in defending the country, in the war on terror, and more broadly, I think they decided they wanted Bush," said Richard Perle, a leader of the neoconservative movement that has advocated using US power to affect democratic change around the world. "They just didn't have the same confidence in Kerry."

"There's a mandate for his leadership. And I don't think the public is going to second-guess the tactical decisions that are made with respect to Iraq. The country understood perfectly well that reelecting him meant continuing a vigorous effort to win the war in Iraq," Perle added.

If the neoconservatives do remain prominent in the second term, calls from the more realist voices in the Republican Party for deeper mediation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict could be tamped out. What happens to Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat will be decisive in the Bush administration's thinking as to whether or not to engage more deeply.

Asked if Bush would feel compelled to become involved in peacemaking between Israel and the Palestinians should Arafat die, Perle said, " I don't think he'd feel compelled. I think he'd see an opportunity."

More broadly, O'Hanlon predicted Bush would continue to act boldly, even if his moves are unpopular with a large portion of the US populace and abroad.

"He's not going to change his strategy from the first term, which was to just go for it," he said. "If you had an idea go for it. Whether it was in domestic politics or in international relations, have the courage of your convictions and go with the people you want to have around you."

"He's convinced overthrowing Saddam was the right thing and that a lot of people just didn't really have the backbone to support what was necessary," O'Hanlon added.

It is that conviction, coupled with a steady stream of ideas from advisers, that has made Bush an active president internationally. But O'Hanlon says Bush will at the same time not be manipulated in his next term by zealous neoconservatives, citing the hunger of thinkers like Wolfowitz to see regime change in Iran.

"He's the president. He can make decisions. He doesn't have to overthrow the government in Iran just because the neocons want him too," he said.
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stefania



Joined: 17 Jul 2003
Posts: 4250
Location: Italy

PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2004 12:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Asked if Bush would feel compelled to become involved in peacemaking between Israel and the Palestinians should Arafat die, Perle said, " I don't think he'd feel compelled. I think he'd see an opportunity."


I think that he would see rightly.


Quote:
O'Hanlon predicted Bush would continue to act boldly, even if his moves are unpopular with a large portion of the US populace and abroad.


Translation= He wouldn't give a d.a.m.n. about the world's so-called "public opinion"..

That's great !!! Very Happy

Quote:
have the courage of your convictions


every great leader should have the courage of his convinctions.

Quote:
"He's convinced overthrowing Saddam was the right thing


correct

Quote:
It is that conviction, coupled with a steady stream of ideas from advisers, that has made Bush an active president internationally


Quote:
"He's the president. He can make decisions. He doesn't have to overthrow the government in Iran just because the neocons want him too," he said.


No. I do think that if after all he was "influenced" by the neocons to go to war in Iraq (despite the State and the CIA's opposition to do so ), he will be also influenced to promote Regime Change in Iran.

I think he'll.

What makes me think like that ?

Just remember how he won the first term. He was a "realist" who had a policy based on the isolationism and very similar to his father's.

But the events of 9/11 changed everything and , if it were the neocons who "influenced" him, well they did the right thing and he changed vision.

If Wolfowitz becomes Secretary of State, i think that he may be much influenced.

It's too early to say what he will do.

Remember : the idea of "neocons" serving in this second term is ALREADY making the Europeans mad.

Just yesterday, an Italian analyst complained that "if Powell is replaced by the neocons, the position of France.Germany and UK towards the Iranian issue will noy be heard and instead the neocons' dangerous vision would prevail ".

I am convinced that with a "neocons" team Bush would help promote Regime Change in Iran.

As he would is to be seen.
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asher



Joined: 03 Mar 2004
Posts: 305
Location: Portland, Oregon

PostPosted: Fri Nov 05, 2004 1:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
citing the hunger of thinkers like Wolfowitz to see regime change in Iran


... and I'm hungry like the Wolfowitz ...


/duranduran
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