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Time For Action On The Mullah's Plans!

 
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haleh
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 12, 2004 8:31 am    Post subject: Time For Action On The Mullah's Plans! Reply with quote

Time For Action On The Mullah's Plans!

September 11, 2004
The Washington Times
Dick Lugar
http://www.washtimes.com/commentary/20040911-110006-4877r.htm

Nearly two years have passed since the world discovered Iran has been cheating under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Despite repeated denials by Tehran, an indisputable mass of evidence since uncovered makes it clear Iran seeks to build a nuclear bomb.

For almost as long, many in the international community have tried to avoid direct confrontation with Iran over this illegal program by offering deals and second chances.

This has not worked. Iran has walked away from its nearly year-old commitments to three European countries to cease and desist from enriching uranium usable in a nuclear weapon.

Iran has announced it will resume enrichment activities and the International Atomic Energy Agency, the nuclear watchdog, has confirmed Iran is making uranium hexafluoride, a key step in creating bomb-grade uranium.

The international community has dithered long enough. It is time for decisive action. When the IAEA meets this week, it should vote to report Iran's violations to the United Nations Security Council, which has authority to impose diplomatic and economic sanctions and, if necessary, call for the use of force.

The world has been more than patient in the face of Iran's repeated violations of the NPT and lies to the IAEA. It secretly built a large pilot uranium enrichment complex, a far larger, weapons-scale underground enrichment plant, and conducted a clandestine laser isotope separation program, all clearly banned by the treaty. It has also conducted plutonium separation experiments and is reportedly seeking deuterium, both primarily useful in nuclear weapons. As an oil-rich state with a single, unfinished nuclear power plant, there can only be one explanation: Iran is constructing a weapons complex.

Last year, Britain, France and Germany tried to coax the ruling mullahs off their weapons path by offering a trade deal if all enrichment and reprocessing halted. Iran initially agreed but now has reneged, violating every promise to the Europeans.

Failure to act now will bring us one step closer to a nuclear-armed Iran, which already has an advancing ballistic missile program that could threaten Israel as well as Europe. Iran may be less than two years away from a bomb, according to some experts. Even if it doesn't use such weapons, merely possessing them would strengthen Tehran's ability to undermine American policy throughout the Middle East.

Moreover, an Iran with nuclear weapons could trigger a wave of proliferation, pressuring Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Syria, Turkey and Algeria to develop their own nuclear forces, and would hamper efforts to rein in Pakistan's nuclear weapons program.

Not only does Iran itself have extensive and well-documented ties to terrorists, such a dispersal of weapons technology would increase exponentially the threat of nuclear terrorism from any number of Muslim extremists in the region.

Failure to act now also would deal a blow to the already fragile nonproliferation regime. The safeguards and inspections under the NPT have succeeded, albeit belatedly, in proving Iran's failure to comply with the treaty. Only by prompt enforcement can the treaty stop the spread of nuclear weapons.

Despite the flagrant violations, some Europeans are searching for new reasons to avoid a diplomatic showdown. They argue Iran doesn't pose an immediate threat and if the case is taken to the Security Council, Iran may walk out of the NPT.

But keeping Iran in the treaty is not an end in itself the aim is to stop the spread of weapons. A vote by the IAEA to enforce the NPT would be a step toward that goal.

Following a familiar pattern of cheat and retreat, Tehran has at the last minute offered the Europeans another deal. It promised to stop some but not all of its enrichment activities in return for trade concessions, apparently hoping to put off an IAEA vote until the next meeting in November. This is worse than the bargain it struck and broke last year.

The Europeans should reject it out of hand. The international community understandably wants to avoid a military confrontation. It must realize the best way to do so is to face the Iranian violations today. Putting it off does not buy time; it only buys greater risk in the future.


Dick Lugar, Indiana Republican, is chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.

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Spenta



Joined: 04 Sep 2003
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 12, 2004 1:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bush has been paralysed and indecisive on Iran, can't unite his cabinet, and doesn't seem to be able to go beyond rhetoric. 2 years ago, people came to him with plans to overthrow the Mullah$, with direct mass funding for potential revolutionaries in Iran etc. he sat on those plans alongside every other plan and proposal while all the momentum was lost, thousands were arrested and the movement dessimated!

Ultimately Bush was only decisive on one issue, and that is what he came into the White House obsessed with, Iraq. And Iraq has wasted almost all of the built up post 9/11 war on terror capital, and squandered away all the international resources. Iraq will continue to eat up everything in international sight as it enters the Yugoslovakification phase with potential civil war or a breaking of the couuntry into 3, Kurdish North, Sunni west and shiite south with even more headaches.

Now why is the US and its indecisive leader, Bush, who still don't have an Iran policy coming up on 3 years after the "Axis of Evil Speech", still 'indecisive' on Iran:

1. The EU has Bush over a barrel with Iraq

2. Iraq has Bush and the US over a barrel for some time.

3. The thought of tens of thousands of Hezbollah, Hamas, Revolutionary Guards, Basij etc. armed to the teeth and pouring into Iraq and Afghanistan while fleeing revolutionary Iran is disastrous for much of the world and the US.

4. Right now, its a game of trying to figure out which is worst, a nuclear Iran or the threat of further destabilisation of the region with a revolutionary Iran?


Regardless of what the US, or the immoral Europeans decide, the Mullah$ regime is a Dead Man Walking, and another 'Reformist' Mullah president elected next year will be about as effective as the the last one

The Mullah$ will collapse, because Iran is not North Korea or Iraq under Saddam, it is much more volatile, politically unstable, and it has a much bigger and angrier opposition movement and its political structure, disastrous economy and infrastructure is in far worst shape. It is also not China, and every EU businessman already has figured that out (including the IMF). So the Mullah$ will fall, the questions for the west then are:

1. The usual answer: which is worst, nuclear terrorist Mullah$ in Iran, or destablisied Middle East as a result of the collapse of the Mullahcracy?

2. Who wants the political credit for freeing Iran and ending the doctrinal center and birthplace of Islamism ? Lets face it, this one could be as big as Reagon's triumph over the Soviet Union and Communism! And lets not forget, Bush is no Reagan, becasue Bush already got his apple and that was Iraq, he's lost all interest and steam ever since, and he ain't going to get it back even if re-elected, because Iraq was all he ever cared about!

3. Which is worst, nuclear Mullah$ in charge in Iran, or nuclear Mullah$ fleeing Iran with their nukes? Don't be too surprised if western power elites decide that nuclear Mullah$ in Iran are safer than nuclear Mullah$ fleeing Iran!
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